In the penultimate Health Affairs Forefront series, Mark Linthicum, Richard Chapman, and Jeroen Jansen address uncertainty in healthcare value assessment and decision-making and identify the following opportunities for change:

  • We need a more dynamic approach to value assessment.
  • Economic models should include both parameter and structural uncertainty to fully characterize the implications for decision-making.
  • Gaps in evidence regarding treatment effects in minority populations must be formally integrated into the framework used to determine the value of new interventions.
  • Relevant stakeholders should develop a data infrastructure that includes freely available data sources which may help alleviate uncertainty, such as long-term registries and patient-representative databases.
  • Improve how we communicate uncertainty to both decision-makers and public audiences.

Read the full article here.